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Article information
2023 , Volume 28, ¹ 4, p.45-56
Moskvichev V.V., Postnikova U.S., Taseiko O.V., Efremova I.S.
Analysis of the stability of the technosphere of the Arctic territories of the Krasnoyarsk Territory using probabilistic and graphical models
The main factors influencing the sustainable development of the territories of the Far North and the Arctic zone of the Krasnoyarsk Territory, taking into account natural and climatic features, are considered. The general characteristics and assessment of the state of industrial infrastructure are provided, data on the accident rate of technosphere objects are given. On the basis of Bayesian networks, a methodology for assessing the probability of occurrence of dangerous technogenic events is proposed and estimates of the technogenic risk of the Arctic zone of the Krasnoyarsk Territory are made
Keywords: socio-natural-technogenic system, sustainable development, Arctic zone, bayesian networks
Author(s):
Moskvichev Vladimir Viktorovich
Dr. , Professor
Position: Director
Office: Federal Research Center for Information and Computational Technologies,Siberian Federal University
Address: 660049, Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Mira pr., 53
Phone Office: (391) 227-29-12
E-mail: krasn@ict.nsc.ru
SPIN-code: 9332-6468Postnikova Ulyana Sergeevna
PhD.
Position: Senior Fellow
Office: Reshetnev Siberian State University of Science and Technology,Federal Research Center for Information and Computational Technologies
Address: 660037, Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Office L-409, 410, 31, Krasnoyarsky Rabochy Av.
Phone Office: (923)-281-94-64
E-mail: ulyana-ivanova@inbox.ru
SPIN-code: 5790-6393Taseiko Olga Viktorovna
PhD. , Associate Professor
Position: Head of Chair
Office: Federal Research Center for Information and Computational Technologies, Reshetnev Siberian State University of Science and Technology
Address: 660037, Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Office L-409, 410, 31, Krasnoyarsky Rabochy Av.
Phone Office: (923)-280-52-10
E-mail: taseiko@gmail.com
SPIN-code: 4032-4299Efremova Inna Sergeevna
Position: Master student
Office: Federal Research Center for Information and Computational Technologies,Siberian Federal University
Address: 660049, Russia, Krasnoyarsk, av. Mira, 53
Phone Office: (923)-370-69-79
E-mail: efremovais00@mail.ru
SPIN-code: 9060-1521
Bibliography link:
Moskvichev V.V., Postnikova U.S., Taseiko O.V., Efremova I.S. Analysis of the stability of the technosphere of the Arctic territories of the Krasnoyarsk Territory using probabilistic and graphical models // Computational technologies. 2023. V. 28. ¹ 4. P. 45-56
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