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Article information
2025 , Volume 30, ¹ 5, p.66-79
Grigoriev D.A., Musaev A.A.
A multi-expert forecasting system for chaotic processes based on stacking machine learning technology
This study addresses the problem of forecasting chaotic processes generated by a monitoring system observing an unstable system. The presence of chaotic components in the observational data significantly limits the effectiveness of traditional statistical methods, necessitating novel and unconventional approaches to forecasting. In this paper, the implementation of the forecasting software-algorithmic framework is based on a multi-expert system for data analysis. Preliminary forecasts are generated using software agents which are functioning as weak classifiers. The final predictive decision is made by a supervisory expert through the combined processing of results from a group of independent software experts. In machine learning terms, this forecasting framework corresponds to a stacking algorithm within ensemble decision-making technology.
Keywords: chaotic process, multi-expert system, forecasting, weak classifier
Author(s): Grigoriev Dmitry Alekseevich PhD. , Associate Professor Position: Associate Professor Office: Saint-Petersburg State University Address: 199034, Russia, St-Petersburg, 7, Universitetskaya Embankment
E-mail: gridmer@mail.ru SPIN-code: 9891-8893Musaev Alexander Azerovich Dr. Position: Leading research officer Address: 199178, Russia, St-Petersburg, 7, Universitetskaya Embankment
SPIN-code: 4445-9660 Bibliography link: Grigoriev D.A., Musaev A.A. A multi-expert forecasting system for chaotic processes based on stacking machine learning technology // Computational technologies. 2025. V. 30. ¹ 5. P. 66-79
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